Tilt Stats
VenuesPlayersMachinesTournamentsScoutH2HPulseBlog

Data from Match Play Events, IFPA, OPDB and Pinball Map. · Stream Deck plugin ·

Players/Luke Mutchler

Luke Mutchler

MN
Match Play ↗IFPA ↗CardCSV
IFPA rank #1,429IFPA rating 1589.5Matchplay rating 1649
Career best #1,048165 IFPA events all-time
ProfileOverviewScoresAll machinesOpponentsInsightsResults

Playing order, early vs late rounds, attendance, rivalries, upsets, and the venue split.

Win rate 39.7% · top 16%Finish quality 58% · top 20%

Season recaps: 2026 · 2025

Recent form:3rdSTERN ARMY - NPC Friday Matchplay - 10/30/26 · 3rd of 242ndFinals for STERN ARMY - NPC Friday Matchplay - 10/30/26 · 2nd of 121stNPC Sunday Strikes - 8 strikes 10/18/26 · 1st of 917thBroken Clock 3-Strike Tournament (October) · 17th of 424thNPC Friday Night - 10/16/26 · 4th of 16

Rivals

Paul Tvedt 90-91nemesisDave Prosen 85-73Daniel Mickelson 64-56Jeff Stenzel 61-46James Skelley 41-30

Insights

Win rate by playing order (4-player)
Player 1
28.6% · 189g
Player 2
31% · 203g
Player 3
31.8% · 192g
Player 4
28.4% · 197g
Early vs late rounds
Early rounds64% (574g)
Late rounds55% (685g)

Fades in the late rounds

By group size
2-player58% wins58% quality · 307g
3-player50% wins64% quality · 216g
4-player30% wins57% quality · 781g
Warm-up and tilt
First game of the night62% vs 58% after
After a last-place finish60% vs 58% usual
Learning curves
Supersonic+83.3/108gRoyal Flush+42.4/1011gLost World+41.7/1015gBlack Knight: Sword of Rage-99.2/108gComet-35.8/1016gWild Fyre-33.3/109g
WPPR outlook
Points per event2.25 · top 10%
To crack top 1,000~60.61 pts
To crack top 500~215.18 pts

Estimated from tracked players at those ranks; decay shifts the exact number.

Attendance
Events tracked168
Active month streak14
Longest streak14 months
Home venueNorthstar Pinball Collective 86%
Rivalries
Paul TvedtW290-91185gDave ProsenW285-73160gDaniel MickelsonW164-56125gJeff StenzelW361-46112gJames SkelleyW341-3074g
Biggest upset winsby current IFPA rank gap
Beat Luke Nahorniak #19BFG Memorial Tournament - 1/3/2026 · Granada · Jan 3, 2026+1,410Beat Luke Nahorniak #19NPC Monthly Matchplay - 2/7/2026 · Guardians of the Galaxy · Feb 7, 2026+1,410Beat Luke Nahorniak #19NPC Monthly Matchplay - 4/4/2026 · Venom · Apr 4, 2026+1,410Beat Luke Nahorniak #19NPC Sunday Strikes - 2/15/2026 · Guardians of the Galaxy · Feb 15, 2026+1,410Beat Luke Nahorniak #19NPC Friday Night - 11/28/25 · Prospector · Nov 28, 2025+1,410

Venue comparison

56 Brewing2542.648
Broken Clock Brewing Cooperative4982.4717
Julie's Pinball1212.52
LITT Pinball Bar3352.1211
Northstar Pinball Collective11541452451
Stray Dog2342.397