Rob Koppelman has won three tournaments out of 225 and he is 23rd in the state

IFPA credits Rob Koppelman with zero event wins on the 2026 series calendar. He is twenty-third in the Minnesota standings on 112.79 points anyway.

Across 225 tracked tournaments in the Tilt Stats database, he has finished first three times. Three, from 225. Twenty-three podiums. One thousand four hundred and eighty-five games played.

There is no other profile in this year's top 25 that looks like this, and it makes a useful point about what a championship series actually measures.

The arithmetic of turning up

• 225 tracked tournaments, three outright wins, 23 podiums
• 1,485 games, a 32.4% win rate in the 60th percentile of 285 ranked players
• Average finish in the 57th percentile
• 180 machines on file
• 31 consecutive months with an entry, a streak that is still running

A 32.4% game win rate is the lowest of anybody in this list. It is also a perfectly respectable number: in four-player groups the field average is 25%, so he is beating chance by a third.

What gets him to 112 points is playing all twenty NACS slots and finishing mid-table in big fields, over and over, for a full year without missing a month.

Spread thin, on purpose

Six venues, three of them at 50 events or more. Nobody else in the top 25 has three rooms that busy. His average finish sits between 2.25 and 2.42 in all six, which is the same flat profile Jack Copeland has two places above him.

All three of his wins came in the two rooms he plays most:

• Bad Penny Friday Night Match Play, 35 players, June 2025
• Bad Penny Friday Night Match Play, 28 players, March 2025
• Blainbrook Summer Series, 20 players, June 2025

All three landed inside four months in the first half of 2025. Whatever was working then has not repeated.

The records

Level with Tvedt after 68 games and ahead of three players outside the rankings across 138 more. Those are the matchups he can win.

Then the top of the state:

• Adam Turgeson: 16-43 over 59 games
• Nathan Reardon: 11-31-5 over 47 games
• Bryan Moen: 12-31 over 43 games
• James Skelley: 23-43-8 over 74 games
• Chris Frame: 7-28 over 35 games
• Luke Nahorniak: 8-22-4 over 34 games

Six opponents, 292 games, 77 wins. Playing three busy rooms means drawing the best players in each of them, and he has drawn them a lot.

Machines

For a player with a 32% overall win rate, that is a surprisingly strong top of the list. Twenty-four games of Swords of Fury at 69.1% and 19 of Stranger Things at 67% are the deepest, and both sit well above his baseline.

The picture that emerges is a player with a handful of machines he genuinely knows and a long tail of games where he is giving away ground. His weak list:

• White Water, 0.334 over 10 games
• Addams Family, 0.337 over 10 games, a 32% win rate
• Cyclone, 0.339 over 9 games
• Venom, 0.347 over 19 games, a 36.8% win rate

Nineteen games of Venom at 36.8% is the reading with the most behind it. Addams Family at 32% is notable because Bryan Moen sits at 71.3% on the same game over 44 games.

Form

Running above himself: 60% over the last ten games against a 53% baseline, a seven-point gain. His last tracked result was the LITT August Open on August 30.

If you draw him

Venom or Addams Family, both with real samples and both under 0.35.

Keep him off Swords of Fury, which at 24 games is by far his most reliable strength, and off James Bond 007.

The scouting report does the comparison properly. The rest of the 2026 top 25 is here.